Georgia Senate
95%
Dem
5%GOP
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+1.4
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
D+4.3
National Environment
current political climate
D+6.6
Polls
recent state and district polling
R+0.3
Forecasted margin
D+9.2
What Changes the Forecast
The national mood is doing most of the work. A big shift or some new polling might move it.
Polls
Polls (13)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | Oct 20, 2026 | D+8 | LV |
| Quantus Insights | Oct 17, 2026 | D+7 | LV |
| University of Georgia The Atlanta Journal-Constitution | Oct 15, 2026 | D+8 | LV |
| Trafalgar GroupRepublican | Oct 9, 2026 | D+8 | LV |
| InsiderAdvantage | Sep 23, 2026 | D+8 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 95%
GOP 5%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+2 This is a highly competitive, evenly split state.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Jon Ossoff (inc.)
Republican Mike Collins