Georgia's 14th Congressional District
99%
GOP
1%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +22.9·80% of simulations: R +34.6 to R +11.2
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +34.3
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
D +5.6
National Environment
current political climate
D +5.3
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.5
Forecasted margin
R +22.9
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 1%
GOP 99%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+37 This is a safe Republican district.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Shawn Harris
Republican Clay Fuller (inc.)
- Seat context
- Vacant seat. Special election pending after a January 2026 resignation.