Every race starts from our forecast. Adjust each demographic group’s share of the vote and watch the environment change.
Democratic seats233▲ 17
Republican seats202▼ 17
National environmentD +6.6
Solid Purple baseline
White non-college · 39% of votersR +24
White college · 35% of votersD +14
Black · 10% of votersD +78
Hispanic · 9% of votersD +23
Asian / other · 7% of votersD +18
D by 15+
D by 8–15
D by 3–8
Within 3
R by 3–8
R by 8–15
R by 15+
Ohio 7th District
Forecast R +0.1Your result R +0.1
GroupShare of votersMargin in this district
White non-college51%R +14
White college42%D +10
Black2%D +78
Hispanic2%D +14
Asian / other3%D +16
Estimates. Smaller groups can be off by 10+ points.
| Share of voters | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R +0.1 | R +0.1 | 51% | 42% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| D +0.2 | D +0.2 | 21% | 11% | 2% | 64% | 2% | ||
| D +0.4 | D +0.4 | 50% | 42% | 2% | 3% | 3% | ||
| D +0.5 | D +0.5 | 49% | 38% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| D +0.7 | D +0.7 | 59% | 35% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| R +0.7 | R +0.7 | 48% | 40% | 6% | 3% | 3% | ||
| R +0.8 | R +0.8 | 29% | 22% | 7% | 38% | 4% | ||
| R +0.8 | R +0.8 | 42% | 47% | 3% | 3% | 5% | ||
| R +0.9 | R +0.9 | 62% | 34% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| R +1.4 | R +1.4 | 37% | 45% | 4% | 8% | 6% | ||
| D +1.5 | D +1.5 | 55% | 31% | 5% | 6% | 3% | ||
| D +1.7 | D +1.7 | 35% | 48% | 10% | 2% | 5% | ||
| D +1.9 | D +1.9 | 29% | 35% | 11% | 19% | 6% | ||
| D +2.1 | D +2.1 | 52% | 31% | 10% | 1% | 6% | ||
| D +2.5 | D +2.5 | 54% | 32% | 8% | 3% | 3% | ||
| R +2.7 | R +2.7 | 52% | 36% | 4% | 5% | 3% | ||
| D +2.8 | D +2.8 | 43% | 26% | 26% | 2% | 3% | ||
| R +2.9 | R +2.9 | 48% | 45% | 0% | 2% | 5% | ||
| D +3.2 | D +3.2 | 34% | 35% | 11% | 15% | 5% | ||
| D +3.2 | D +3.2 | 49% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 4% | ||
| D +3.3 | D +3.3 | 40% | 34% | 1% | 20% | 5% | ||
| R +3.4 | R +3.4 | 7% | 21% | 6% | 62% | 4% | ||
| D +3.5 | D +3.5 | 61% | 34% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| D +4.0 | D +4.0 | 29% | 49% | 7% | 10% | 5% | ||
| D +4.0 | D +4.0 | 47% | 37% | 7% | 4% | 5% | ||
| D +4.1 | D +4.1 | 22% | 7% | 6% | 58% | 7% | ||
| D +4.5 | D +4.5 | 20% | 17% | 2% | 58% | 3% | ||
| R +4.7 | R +4.7 | 42% | 35% | 7% | 11% | 5% | ||
| R +4.7 | R +4.7 | 40% | 22% | 33% | 2% | 3% | ||
| D +4.8 | D +4.8 | 48% | 36% | 4% | 9% | 3% | ||
| D +4.8 | D +4.8 | 48% | 42% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
Sources: CNN/Edison exit polls, AP VoteCast, the Cooperative Election Study, Pew Research Center, Catalist, Cook Political Report, the Census Current Population Survey and American Community Survey, Dave’s Redistricting App, the Texas Legislative Council, and The Downballot.