Wyoming Governor
100%
GOP
0%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the state votes compared with the nation
R+50.9
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
D+11.0
National Environment
current political climate
D+4.1
Polls
polling in similar states
D+0.7
Forecasted margin
R+35.1
What Changes the Forecast
This race needs a plot twist. It would take a sustained, race-specific shift to move the forecast.
Polls
No statewide polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 0%
GOP 100%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+47 This is a safe Republican state.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Ken Casner
Republican Eric Barlow
- Seat context
- Open seat: Mark Gordon is term-limited.