Democrats are winning everywhere that matters.

Senate

Chance to win
Final forecastDem73%

House

Chance to win
Final forecastDem92%

Governors

28–22

Final forecast

Governors to Watch

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Where the Senate Breaks

Where the House Breaks

Races to Watch

Broadcasts belong to their publishers. Solid Purple’s numbers are separate.

Find A Race
Updated November 3, 2026 · Live results start at 6 PM ET on November 3
Where the Senate Breaks

Democrats need 17 of the 35 races still out. Republicans need 19.

Seats 1–34: Democratic seats not up this year
35 MassachusettsPolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
>99% D 36 Rhode IslandPolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
>99% D 37 DelawarePolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
>99% D 38 ColoradoPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
>99% D 39 OregonPolls close 11 PM ET Polls close 11 PM ET
>99% D 40 New MexicoPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
>99% D 41 VirginiaPolls close 7 PM ET Polls close 7 PM ET
>99% D 42 New JerseyPolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
>99% D 43 IllinoisPolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
>99% D 44 North CarolinaPolls close 7:30 PM ET Polls close 7:30 PM ET
96% D 45 GeorgiaPolls close 7 PM ET Polls close 7 PM ET
95% D 46 New HampshirePolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
92% D 47 MinnesotaPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
86% D 48 MichiganPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
79% D 49 MainePolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
74% D 50 OhioPolls close 7:30 PM ET Polls close 7:30 PM ET
72% D
Seat 51 · majority threshold
51 TexasPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
71% D 52 KansasPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
67% D 53 AlaskaPolls close 1 AM ET Polls close 1 AM ET
61% D 54 IowaPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
52% D 55 South CarolinaPolls close 7 PM ET Polls close 7 PM ET
64% R 56 NebraskaPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
66% R 57 FloridaPolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
89% R 58 LouisianaPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
94% R 59 MississippiPolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
95% R 60 MontanaPolls close 10 PM ET Polls close 10 PM ET
99% R 61 South DakotaPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
99% R 62 ArkansasPolls close 8:30 PM ET Polls close 8:30 PM ET
>99% R 63 KentuckyPolls close 7 PM ET Polls close 7 PM ET
>99% R 64 AlabamaPolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
>99% R 65 TennesseePolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
>99% R 66 IdahoPolls close 11 PM ET Polls close 11 PM ET
>99% R 67 OklahomaPolls close 8 PM ET Polls close 8 PM ET
>99% R 68 West VirginiaPolls close 7:30 PM ET Polls close 7:30 PM ET
>99% R 69 WyomingPolls close 9 PM ET Polls close 9 PM ET
>99% R
Our Calls

Our calls show here, newest first, from 7 PM ET on November 3.