Washington's 2nd Congressional District
99%
Dem
1%GOP
▲ R +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: D +26.0·80% of simulations: D +15.4 to D +36.6
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
D +21.6
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +3.1
National Environment
current political climate
D +7.2
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.3
Forecasted margin
D +26.0
What Changes the Forecast
This race needs a plot twist. It would take a sustained, race-specific shift to move the forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 99%
GOP 1%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- D+24 This is a safe Democrat district.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Rick Larsen (inc.)
Republican Edwin Feller
- Notes
- Top-two primary