Washington's 8th Congressional District
97%
Dem
3%GOP
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: D +21.5·80% of simulations: D +7.9 to D +35.1
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
D +5.5
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
D +3.7
National Environment
current political climate
D +12.4
Polls
recent state and district polling
R +0.1
Forecasted margin
D +21.5
What Changes the Forecast
This race needs a plot twist. It would take a sustained, race-specific shift to move the forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 97%
GOP 3%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- D+6 This district leans Democrat.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Kim Schrier (inc.)
Republican Spencer Meline
- Notes
- Top-two primary