2024 House Forecast

50%
Final forecast — chance of controlling the House
ActualRepublicans won·220R – 215Dcoin flip
Solid D 180
Likely D 17
Lean D 10
Tilt D 15
Tossup 0
Tilt R 12
Lean R 5
Likely R 8
Solid R 188
207 Dem-favored · 0 Tossup · 201 GOP-favored
AKHI
Tap a state to explore
Solid D
Likely D
Lean D
Tossup
Lean R
Likely R
Solid R
Control Probability Over Time
House · D (blue) and R (red) chance of majority
Dem 50%
GOP 50%
Popular Vote Aggregate
District-level forecast aggregate of the national two-party House vote by party.
Dem 50.7%
GOP 49.3%
Competitive Races
42 of 42
Race Forecast D Win % Actual Error Directional Call
MI-07
Curtis Hertel vs Tom Barrett
D+0.4
Tilt D
52%
48%
R+3.7
GOP won
4.1 ppD+4.1
NY-19
Josh Riley vs Marcus J. Molinaro
R+0.5
Tilt R
48%
52%
D+2.2
Dem won
2.7 ppR+2.7
NY-17
Mondaire L. Jones vs Michael Lawler
D+0.7
Tilt D
53%
47%
R+4.3
GOP won
5.0 ppD+5.0
CA-47
Dave Min vs Scott Baugh
D+0.8
Tilt D
54%
46%
D+2.9
Dem won
2.1 ppR+2.1
CA-41
Will Rollins vs Ken Calvert
R+0.8
Tilt R
46%
54%
R+3.4
GOP won
2.6 ppD+2.6
AZ-01
Amish Shah vs David Schweikert
R+1.0
Tilt R
46%
54%
R+3.8
GOP won
2.8 ppD+2.8
IA-03
Lanon Baccam vs Zachary Nunn
R+1.0
Tilt R
46%
54%
R+3.8
GOP won
2.8 ppD+2.8
VA-02
Missy Cotter Smasal vs Jennifer A. Kiggans
R+1.1
Tilt R
45%
55%
R+3.8
GOP won
2.7 ppD+2.7
CA-22
Rudy Salas vs David G. Valadao
D+1.1
Tilt D
55%
45%
R+6.8
GOP won
7.9 ppD+7.9
IA-01
Christina Bohannan vs Mariannette Miller-Meeks
D+1.2
Tilt D
55%
45%
R+0.2
GOP won
1.4 ppD+1.4
AK-00
Mary Sattler Peltola vs Nick Begich
D+1.3
Tilt D
55%
45%
R+2.4
GOP won
3.7 ppD+3.7
CA-27
George Whitesides vs Mike Garcia
D+1.5
Tilt D
57%
43%
D+2.7
Dem won
1.2 ppR+1.2
NY-03
Thomas R. Suozzi vs Michael J. Lipetri, Jr.
D+1.7
Tilt D
58%
42%
D+3.6
Dem won
1.9 ppR+1.9
CA-45
Derek Tran vs Michelle Steel
R+1.7
Tilt R
42%
58%
D+0.2
Dem won
1.9 ppR+1.9
WA-03
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vs Joe Kent
R+1.7
Tilt R
42%
58%
D+3.9
Dem won
5.6 ppR+5.6
AZ-06
Kirsten Engel vs Juan Ciscomani
R+1.7
Tilt R
42%
58%
R+2.5
GOP won
0.8 ppD+0.8
PA-10
Janelle Stelson vs Scott Perry
D+1.7
Tilt D
58%
42%
R+1.3
GOP won
3.0 ppD+3.0
MI-10
Carl J. Marlinga vs John James
R+1.8
Tilt R
42%
58%
R+6.1
GOP won
4.3 ppD+4.3
OH-13
Emilia Strong Sykes vs Kevin Coughlin
D+1.8
Tilt D
58%
42%
D+2.2
Dem won
0.4 ppR+0.4
NJ-07
Sue Altman vs Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
R+1.8
Tilt R
42%
58%
R+5.4
GOP won
3.6 ppD+3.6
CA-13
Adam Gray vs John S. Duarte
D+1.9
Tilt D
59%
41%
D+0.1
Dem won
1.8 ppD+1.8
MI-08
Kristen Mcdonald Rivet vs Paul Junge
D+2.3
Tilt D
60%
40%
D+6.6
Dem won
4.3 ppR+4.3
WI-03
Rebecca Cooke vs Derrick Van Orden
R+2.4
Tilt R
40%
60%
R+2.7
GOP won
0.3 ppD+0.3
CA-09
Josh Harder vs Kevin Lincoln
D+2.4
Tilt D
61%
39%
D+3.6
Dem won
1.2 ppR+1.2
NY-01
John P. Avlon vs Nick Lalota
R+3.2
Lean R
35%
65%
R+10.4
GOP won
7.2 ppD+7.2
NE-02
Tony Vargas vs Don Bacon
D+3.2
Tilt D
64%
36%
R+1.9
GOP won
5.1 ppD+5.1
PA-07
Susan Wild vs Ryan E. Mackenzie
D+3.2
Lean D
65%
35%
R+1.0
GOP won
4.2 ppD+4.2
CO-08
Yadira Caraveo vs Gabe Evans
D+3.2
Tilt D
63%
37%
R+0.7
GOP won
3.9 ppD+3.9
FL-13
Whitney Fox vs Anna Paulina Luna
R+3.2
Tilt R
36%
64%
R+9.6
GOP won
6.4 ppD+6.4
NC-01
Donald G. Davis vs Laurie Buckhout
D+3.5
Lean D
67%
33%
D+1.7
Dem won
1.8 ppD+1.8
CA-03
Jessica Morse vs Kevin Kiley
R+3.8
Lean R
33%
67%
R+10.9
GOP won
7.1 ppD+7.1
OR-05
Janelle S. Bynum vs Lori Chavez-Deremer
D+3.9
Lean D
68%
32%
D+2.7
Dem won
1.2 ppD+1.2
PA-17
Christopher R. Deluzio vs Rob Mercuri
D+4.1
Lean D
68%
32%
D+7.8
Dem won
3.7 ppR+3.7
MD-06
April Mcclain Delaney vs Neil C. Parrott
D+4.3
Lean D
72%
28%
D+6.3
Dem won
2.0 ppR+2.0
MT-01
Monica Tranel vs Ryan K. Zinke
R+4.7
Lean R
28%
72%
R+7.7
GOP won
3.0 ppD+3.0
VA-07
Eugene S. Vindman vs Derrick M. Anderson
D+4.8
Lean D
73%
27%
D+2.6
Dem won
2.2 ppD+2.2
CO-03
Adam Frisch vs Jeff Hurd
R+5.3
Lean R
29%
71%
R+5.0
GOP won
0.3 ppR+0.3
PA-08
Matt Cartwright vs Rob Bresnahan, Jr.
D+5.4
Lean D
74%
26%
R+1.6
GOP won
7.0 ppD+7.0
WA-08
Kim Schrier vs Carmen Goers
D+5.4
Lean D
72%
28%
D+8.2
Dem won
2.8 ppR+2.8
ME-02
Jared F. Golden vs Austin Theriault
D+5.5
Lean D
71%
29%
D+0.7
Dem won
4.8 ppD+4.8
NM-02
Gabe Vasquez vs Yvette Herrell
D+5.8
Lean D
73%
27%
D+4.2
Dem won
1.6 ppD+1.6
IA-02
Sarah Corkery vs Ashley Hinson
R+5.9
Lean R
26%
74%
R+15.6
GOP won
9.7 ppD+9.7
All Races
Show all 435 House races
435 of 435
Race Forecast D Win % Actual Error Directional Call
MI-07
Curtis Hertel vs Tom Barrett
D+0.4
Tilt D
52%
48%
R+3.7
GOP won
4.1 ppD+4.1
NY-19
Josh Riley vs Marcus J. Molinaro
R+0.5
Tilt R
48%
52%
D+2.2
Dem won
2.7 ppR+2.7
NY-17
Mondaire L. Jones vs Michael Lawler
D+0.7
Tilt D
53%
47%
R+4.3
GOP won
5.0 ppD+5.0
CA-47
Dave Min vs Scott Baugh
D+0.8
Tilt D
54%
46%
D+2.9
Dem won
2.1 ppR+2.1
CA-41
Will Rollins vs Ken Calvert
R+0.8
Tilt R
46%
54%
R+3.4
GOP won
2.6 ppD+2.6
AZ-01
Amish Shah vs David Schweikert
R+1.0
Tilt R
46%
54%
R+3.8
GOP won
2.8 ppD+2.8
IA-03
Lanon Baccam vs Zachary Nunn
R+1.0
Tilt R
46%
54%
R+3.8
GOP won
2.8 ppD+2.8
VA-02
Missy Cotter Smasal vs Jennifer A. Kiggans
R+1.1
Tilt R
45%
55%
R+3.8
GOP won
2.7 ppD+2.7
CA-22
Rudy Salas vs David G. Valadao
D+1.1
Tilt D
55%
45%
R+6.8
GOP won
7.9 ppD+7.9
IA-01
Christina Bohannan vs Mariannette Miller-Meeks
D+1.2
Tilt D
55%
45%
R+0.2
GOP won
1.4 ppD+1.4
AK-00
Mary Sattler Peltola vs Nick Begich
D+1.3
Tilt D
55%
45%
R+2.4
GOP won
3.7 ppD+3.7
CA-27
George Whitesides vs Mike Garcia
D+1.5
Tilt D
57%
43%
D+2.7
Dem won
1.2 ppR+1.2
NY-03
Thomas R. Suozzi vs Michael J. Lipetri, Jr.
D+1.7
Tilt D
58%
42%
D+3.6
Dem won
1.9 ppR+1.9
CA-45
Derek Tran vs Michelle Steel
R+1.7
Tilt R
42%
58%
D+0.2
Dem won
1.9 ppR+1.9
WA-03
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vs Joe Kent
R+1.7
Tilt R
42%
58%
D+3.9
Dem won
5.6 ppR+5.6
AZ-06
Kirsten Engel vs Juan Ciscomani
R+1.7
Tilt R
42%
58%
R+2.5
GOP won
0.8 ppD+0.8
PA-10
Janelle Stelson vs Scott Perry
D+1.7
Tilt D
58%
42%
R+1.3
GOP won
3.0 ppD+3.0
MI-10
Carl J. Marlinga vs John James
R+1.8
Tilt R
42%
58%
R+6.1
GOP won
4.3 ppD+4.3
OH-13
Emilia Strong Sykes vs Kevin Coughlin
D+1.8
Tilt D
58%
42%
D+2.2
Dem won
0.4 ppR+0.4
NJ-07
Sue Altman vs Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
R+1.8
Tilt R
42%
58%
R+5.4
GOP won
3.6 ppD+3.6
CA-13
Adam Gray vs John S. Duarte
D+1.9
Tilt D
59%
41%
D+0.1
Dem won
1.8 ppD+1.8
MI-08
Kristen Mcdonald Rivet vs Paul Junge
D+2.3
Tilt D
60%
40%
D+6.6
Dem won
4.3 ppR+4.3
WI-03
Rebecca Cooke vs Derrick Van Orden
R+2.4
Tilt R
40%
60%
R+2.7
GOP won
0.3 ppD+0.3
CA-09
Josh Harder vs Kevin Lincoln
D+2.4
Tilt D
61%
39%
D+3.6
Dem won
1.2 ppR+1.2
NY-01
John P. Avlon vs Nick Lalota
R+3.2
Lean R
35%
65%
R+10.4
GOP won
7.2 ppD+7.2
NE-02
Tony Vargas vs Don Bacon
D+3.2
Tilt D
64%
36%
R+1.9
GOP won
5.1 ppD+5.1
PA-07
Susan Wild vs Ryan E. Mackenzie
D+3.2
Lean D
65%
35%
R+1.0
GOP won
4.2 ppD+4.2
CO-08
Yadira Caraveo vs Gabe Evans
D+3.2
Tilt D
63%
37%
R+0.7
GOP won
3.9 ppD+3.9
FL-13
Whitney Fox vs Anna Paulina Luna
R+3.2
Tilt R
36%
64%
R+9.6
GOP won
6.4 ppD+6.4
NC-01
Donald G. Davis vs Laurie Buckhout
D+3.5
Lean D
67%
33%
D+1.7
Dem won
1.8 ppD+1.8
CA-03
Jessica Morse vs Kevin Kiley
R+3.8
Lean R
33%
67%
R+10.9
GOP won
7.1 ppD+7.1
OR-05
Janelle S. Bynum vs Lori Chavez-Deremer
D+3.9
Lean D
68%
32%
D+2.7
Dem won
1.2 ppD+1.2
PA-17
Christopher R. Deluzio vs Rob Mercuri
D+4.1
Lean D
68%
32%
D+7.8
Dem won
3.7 ppR+3.7
MD-06
April Mcclain Delaney vs Neil C. Parrott
D+4.3
Lean D
72%
28%
D+6.3
Dem won
2.0 ppR+2.0
MT-01
Monica Tranel vs Ryan K. Zinke
R+4.7
Lean R
28%
72%
R+7.7
GOP won
3.0 ppD+3.0
VA-07
Eugene S. Vindman vs Derrick M. Anderson
D+4.8
Lean D
73%
27%
D+2.6
Dem won
2.2 ppD+2.2
CO-03
Adam Frisch vs Jeff Hurd
R+5.3
Lean R
29%
71%
R+5.0
GOP won
0.3 ppR+0.3
PA-08
Matt Cartwright vs Rob Bresnahan, Jr.
D+5.4
Lean D
74%
26%
R+1.6
GOP won
7.0 ppD+7.0
WA-08
Kim Schrier vs Carmen Goers
D+5.4
Lean D
72%
28%
D+8.2
Dem won
2.8 ppR+2.8
ME-02
Jared F. Golden vs Austin Theriault
D+5.5
Lean D
71%
29%
D+0.7
Dem won
4.8 ppD+4.8
GA-02
Sanford D. Bishop, Jr. vs A. Wayne Johnson
D+5.6
Likely D
76%
24%
D+12.7
Dem won
7.1 ppR+7.1
TX-34
Vicente Gonzalez vs Mayra Flores
D+5.7
Likely D
75%
25%
D+2.6
Dem won
3.1 ppD+3.1
IL-17
Eric Sorensen vs Joe Mcgraw
D+5.8
Likely D
76%
24%
D+8.9
Dem won
3.1 ppR+3.1
NM-02
Gabe Vasquez vs Yvette Herrell
D+5.8
Lean D
73%
27%
D+4.2
Dem won
1.6 ppD+1.6
IA-02
Sarah Corkery vs Ashley Hinson
R+5.9
Lean R
26%
74%
R+15.6
GOP won
9.7 ppD+9.7
NY-22
John W. Mannion vs Brandon Williams
D+6.1
Likely D
77%
23%
D+9.1
Dem won
3.0 ppR+3.0
CA-40
Joe Kerr vs Young Kim
R+6.1
Likely R
24%
76%
R+10.5
GOP won
4.4 ppD+4.4
NY-04
Laura A. Gillen vs Anthony D’Esposito
D+6.9
Likely D
80%
20%
D+2.3
Dem won
4.6 ppD+4.6
CT-05
Jahana Hayes vs George Logan
D+6.9
Likely D
77%
23%
D+4.2
Dem won
2.7 ppD+2.7
WI-01
Peter Barca vs Bryan Steil
R+7.1
Likely R
22%
78%
R+10.2
GOP won
3.1 ppD+3.1
FL-15
Patricia \"Pat\" Kemp vs Laurel M. Lee
R+7.3
Likely R
20%
80%
R+12.4
GOP won
5.1 ppD+5.1
MN-01
Rachel Bohman vs Brad Finstad
R+7.4
Likely R
20%
80%
R+17.1
GOP won
9.7 ppD+9.7
AL-02
Shomari Figures vs Caroleene Dobson
D+7.4
Solid D
85%
15%
D+9.2
Dem won
1.8 ppR+1.8
AZ-02
Jonathan Nez vs Elijah Crane
R+7.4
Likely R
21%
79%
R+9.0
GOP won
1.6 ppD+1.6
NV-04
Steven Horsford vs John Lee
D+7.5
Likely D
79%
21%
D+8.1
Dem won
0.6 ppR+0.6
MN-02
Angie Craig vs Joe Teirab
D+7.5
Likely D
81%
19%
D+11.2
Dem won
3.7 ppR+3.7
OH-09
Marcy Kaptur vs Derek Merrin
D+7.8
Likely D
81%
19%
D+0.6
Dem won
7.2 ppD+7.2
OR-06
Andrea Salinas vs Mike Erickson
D+7.9
Likely D
82%
18%
D+6.9
Dem won
1.0 ppD+1.0
IN-01
Frank J. Mrvan vs Randy Niemeyer
D+7.9
Likely D
81%
19%
D+8.5
Dem won
0.6 ppR+0.6
NH-01
Chris Pappas vs Russell Prescott
D+7.9
Likely D
78%
22%
D+7.8
Dem won
0.1 ppD+0.1
OH-01
Greg Landsman vs Orlando Sonza
D+8.0
Likely D
82%
18%
D+9.2
Dem won
1.2 ppR+1.2
SC-01
Michael B. Moore vs Nancy Mace
R+8.1
Likely R
16%
84%
R+16.6
GOP won
8.5 ppD+8.5
TX-15
Michelle Vallejo vs Monica De La Cruz
R+8.2
Likely R
17%
83%
R+14.2
GOP won
6.0 ppD+6.0
TX-28
Henry Cuellar vs Jay Furman
D+8.3
Likely D
83%
17%
D+5.6
Dem won
2.7 ppD+2.7
MO-02
Ray Hartmann vs Ann Wagner
R+8.4
Solid R
15%
85%
R+12.0
GOP won
3.6 ppD+3.6
FL-23
Jared Moskowitz vs Joseph \"Joe\" Kaufman
D+8.4
Likely D
83%
17%
D+4.9
Dem won
3.5 ppD+3.5
NV-03
Susie Lee vs Drew Johnson
D+8.7
Likely D
83%
17%
D+2.7
Dem won
6.0 ppD+6.0
PA-01
Ashley Ehasz vs Brian K. Fitzpatrick
R+8.7
Solid R
15%
85%
R+12.8
GOP won
4.1 ppD+4.1
MI-03
Hillary J. Scholten vs Paul Hudson
D+8.9
Likely D
84%
16%
D+9.9
Dem won
1.0 ppR+1.0
LA-06
Cleo Fields vs Elbert Guillory
D+9.0
Solid D
87%
13%
D+24.5
Dem won
15.5 ppR+15.5
NY-02
Rob Lubin vs Andrew R. Garbarino
R+9.2
Solid R
13%
87%
R+19.5
GOP won
10.3 ppD+10.3
MI-04
Jessica Swartz vs Bill Huizenga
R+9.4
Solid R
14%
86%
R+11.7
GOP won
2.3 ppD+2.3
CO-04
Trisha Calvarese vs Lauren Boebert
R+9.5
Likely R
16%
84%
R+11.6
GOP won
2.1 ppD+2.1
FL-04
Lashonda \"L. J.\" Holloway vs Aaron Bean
R+9.5
Solid R
14%
86%
R+14.5
GOP won
5.0 ppD+5.0
KS-03
Sharice Davids vs Prasanth Reddy
D+9.6
Solid D
86%
14%
D+10.8
Dem won
1.2 ppR+1.2
OH-15
Adam Miller vs Mike Carey
R+9.6
Solid R
14%
86%
R+12.9
GOP won
3.3 ppD+3.3
NC-11
Caleb Rudow vs Chuck Edwards
R+9.8
Solid R
11%
89%
R+13.5
GOP won
3.7 ppD+3.7
VA-05
Gloria Tinsley Witt vs John J. Mcguire Iii
R+9.9
Solid R
11%
89%
R+15.0
GOP won
5.1 ppD+5.1
AZ-08
Gregory Whitten vs Abraham \"Abe\" Hamadeh
R+10.0
Solid R
14%
86%
R+13.0
GOP won
3.0 ppD+3.0
OH-07
Matt Diemer vs Max L. Miller
R+10.0
Solid R
13%
87%
R+15.0
GOP won
5.0 ppD+5.0
IL-06
Sean Casten vs Niki Conforti
D+10.1
Solid D
89%
11%
D+8.4
Dem won
1.7 ppD+1.7
CA-49
Mike Levin vs Matt Gunderson
D+10.2
Solid D
88%
12%
D+4.3
Dem won
5.9 ppD+6.0
FL-07
Jennifer Adams vs Cory Mills
R+10.2
Solid R
12%
88%
R+13.1
GOP won
2.9 ppD+2.9
IL-14
Lauren Underwood vs James T. \"Jim\" Marter
D+10.5
Solid D
90%
10%
D+10.2
Dem won
0.3 ppD+0.3
NY-18
Patrick Ryan vs Alison Esposito
D+10.6
Solid D
90%
10%
D+14.3
Dem won
3.7 ppR+3.7
NV-01
Dina Titus vs Mark Robertson
D+10.7
Solid D
88%
12%
D+7.5
Dem won
3.2 ppD+3.2
CO-05
River Gassen vs Jeff Crank
R+10.8
Solid R
12%
88%
R+13.8
GOP won
3.0 ppD+3.0
NJ-02
Joseph F. Salerno vs Jefferson Van Drew
R+10.9
Solid R
11%
89%
R+16.9
GOP won
6.0 ppD+6.0
CA-21
Jim Costa vs Michael Maher
D+11.0
Solid D
90%
10%
D+5.1
Dem won
5.9 ppD+5.8
FL-09
Darren Soto vs Thomas Chalifoux
D+11.1
Solid D
90%
10%
D+12.6
Dem won
1.5 ppR+1.5
VA-01
Leslie C. Mehta vs Robert J. Wittman
R+11.3
Solid R
8%
92%
R+12.8
GOP won
1.5 ppD+1.5
FL-25
Debbie Wasserman Schultz vs Chris Eddy
D+11.3
Solid D
90%
10%
D+9.0
Dem won
2.3 ppD+2.3
NH-02
Maggie Goodlander vs Lily Tang Williams
D+11.5
Solid D
87%
13%
D+5.8
Dem won
5.7 ppD+5.7
WA-05
Carmela Conroy vs Michael Baumgartner
R+11.7
Solid R
10%
90%
R+21.3
GOP won
9.6 ppD+9.6
AZ-04
Greg Stanton vs Kelly Cooper
D+11.8
Solid D
90%
10%
D+7.3
Dem won
4.5 ppD+4.5
TN-05
Maryam Abolfazli vs Andrew Ogles
R+12.1
Solid R
7%
93%
R+17.4
GOP won
5.3 ppD+5.3
IL-13
Nikki Budzinski vs Joshua Loyd
D+12.2
Solid D
93%
7%
D+16.2
Dem won
4.0 ppR+4.0
NJ-03
Herb Conaway vs Rajesh Mohan
D+12.3
Solid D
92%
8%
D+8.6
Dem won
3.7 ppD+3.7
IL-08
Raja Krishnamoorthi vs Mark Rice
D+12.5
Solid D
93%
7%
D+14.1
Dem won
1.6 ppR+1.6
NE-01
Carol Blood vs Mike Flood
R+12.8
Solid R
7%
93%
R+20.2
GOP won
7.4 ppD+7.4
NJ-05
Josh Gottheimer vs Mary Jo Guinchard
D+12.9
Solid D
93%
7%
D+11.3
Dem won
1.6 ppD+1.6
CA-26
Julia Brownley vs Michael Koslow
D+13.1
Solid D
94%
6%
D+12.1
Dem won
1.0 ppD+1.0
FL-22
Lois Frankel vs Dan Franzese
D+13.4
Solid D
94%
6%
D+9.9
Dem won
3.5 ppD+3.5
SC-02
David Robinson Ii vs Joe Wilson
R+13.6
Solid R
5%
95%
R+19.3
GOP won
5.7 ppD+5.7
TX-23
S. Limon vs Tony Gonzales
R+13.7
Solid R
6%
94%
R+24.6
GOP won
10.9 ppD+10.9
CA-25
Raul Ruiz vs Ian M. Weeks
D+13.7
Solid D
94%
6%
D+12.5
Dem won
1.2 ppD+1.2
NM-03
Teresa Leger Fernandez vs Sharon E. Clahchischilliage
D+13.8
Solid D
93%
7%
D+12.6
Dem won
1.2 ppD+1.1
CA-06
Ami Bera vs Christine Bish
D+13.8
Solid D
95%
5%
D+15.2
Dem won
1.4 ppR+1.4
OR-04
Val T. Hoyle vs Monique Despain
D+14.2
Solid D
95%
5%
D+7.8
Dem won
6.4 ppD+6.4
RI-02
Seth Magaziner vs Stephen Joseph Corvi
D+14.2
Solid D
90%
10%
D+16.7
Dem won
2.5 ppR+2.5
IL-11
Bill Foster vs Jerry Evans
D+14.2
Solid D
96%
4%
D+11.2
Dem won
3.0 ppD+3.0
NM-01
Melanie A. Stansbury vs Steve Jones
D+14.3
Solid D
94%
6%
D+12.7
Dem won
1.6 ppD+1.6
NC-07
Marlando D. Pridgen vs David Rouzer
R+14.4
Solid R
4%
96%
R+17.2
GOP won
2.8 ppD+2.8
OH-10
Amy Cox vs Michael R. Turner
R+14.5
Solid R
5%
95%
R+18.4
GOP won
3.9 ppD+3.9
MN-08
Jen Schultz vs Pete Stauber
R+14.5
Solid R
5%
95%
R+16.1
GOP won
1.6 ppD+1.6
FL-27
Lucia Baez-Geller vs Maria Elvira Salazar
R+14.5
Solid R
5%
95%
R+20.8
GOP won
6.3 ppD+6.3
NY-11
Andrea S. Morse vs Nicole Malliotakis
R+14.6
Solid R
4%
96%
R+28.1
GOP won
13.5 ppD+13.5
KS-02
Nancy Boyda vs Derek Schmidt
R+14.7
Solid R
5%
95%
R+18.9
GOP won
4.2 ppD+4.2
TX-24
Sam Eppler vs Beth Van Duyne
R+15.1
Solid R
4%
96%
R+20.6
GOP won
5.5 ppD+5.5
PA-06
Chrissy Houlahan vs Neil Young
D+15.3
Solid D
96%
4%
D+12.4
Dem won
2.9 ppD+2.9
CA-23
Derek Marshall vs Jay Obernolte
R+15.3
Solid R
4%
96%
R+20.3
GOP won
5.0 ppD+5.0
FL-16
Jan Schneider vs Vern Buchanan
R+15.5
Solid R
4%
96%
R+19.0
GOP won
3.5 ppD+3.5
MD-01
Blane H. Miller Iii vs Andy Harris
R+15.5
Solid R
2%
98%
R+22.0
GOP won
6.5 ppD+6.5
FL-02
Yen Bailey vs Neal P. Dunn
R+15.7
Solid R
4%
96%
R+23.3
GOP won
7.6 ppD+7.6
WA-10
Marilyn Strickland vs Don Hewett
D+16.0
Solid D
96%
4%
D+17.3
Dem won
1.3 ppR+1.3
CO-07
Brittany Pettersen vs Sergei Matveyuk
D+16.0
Solid D
96%
4%
D+14.2
Dem won
1.8 ppD+1.8
CA-05
Michael J. \"Mike\" Barkley vs Tom Mcclintock
R+16.0
Solid R
3%
97%
R+23.5
GOP won
7.5 ppD+7.5
FL-14
Kathy Castor vs Robert \"Rocky\" Rochford
D+16.3
Solid D
97%
3%
D+15.4
Dem won
0.9 ppD+0.9
WI-08
Kristin Lyerly vs Tony Wied
R+16.6
Solid R
3%
97%
R+14.6
GOP won
2.0 ppR+2.0
NJ-09
Nellie Pou vs Billy Prempeh
D+16.7
Solid D
97%
3%
D+4.9
Dem won
11.8 ppD+11.8
NC-14
Pam Genant vs Tim Moore
R+16.7
Solid R
2%
98%
R+16.1
GOP won
0.6 ppR+0.6
WA-06
Emily Randall vs Drew C. Macewen
D+16.8
Solid D
97%
3%
D+13.6
Dem won
3.2 ppD+3.1
NY-25
Joseph D. Morelle vs Gregg A. Sadwick
D+16.8
Solid D
98%
2%
D+21.6
Dem won
4.8 ppR+4.8
NC-09
Nigel William Bristow vs Richard Hudson
R+16.8
Solid R
2%
98%
R+18.5
GOP won
1.7 ppD+1.7
GA-12
Elizabeth \"Liz\" Johnson vs Rick W. Allen
R+16.9
Solid R
1%
99%
R+20.6
GOP won
3.7 ppD+3.7
FL-28
Phil Ehr vs Carlos A. Gimenez
R+17.0
Solid R
3%
97%
R+29.1
GOP won
12.1 ppD+12.1
GA-01
Patti Hewitt vs Earl L. \"Buddy\" Carter
R+17.1
Solid R
1%
99%
R+24.0
GOP won
6.9 ppD+6.9
IN-05
Deborah A. Pickett vs Victoria Spartz
R+17.2
Solid R
3%
97%
R+18.6
GOP won
1.4 ppD+1.4
KY-06
Randy Cravens vs Andy Barr
R+17.4
Solid R
2%
98%
R+26.1
GOP won
8.7 ppD+8.7
PA-12
Summer L. Lee vs James Hayes
D+17.5
Solid D
98%
2%
D+12.8
Dem won
4.7 ppD+4.7
TX-03
Sandeep Srivastava vs Keith Self
R+17.6
Solid R
2%
98%
R+24.9
GOP won
7.3 ppD+7.3
AZ-05
Katrina Schaffner vs Andy Biggs
R+17.7
Solid R
3%
97%
R+20.8
GOP won
3.1 ppD+3.1
VA-10
Suhas Subramanyam vs Mike W. Clancy
D+17.8
Solid D
99%
1%
D+4.5
Dem won
13.3 ppD+13.3
FL-11
Barbie Harden Hall vs Daniel Webster
R+17.9
Solid R
2%
98%
R+20.8
GOP won
2.9 ppD+2.9
NC-13
Frank Pierce vs Brad Knott
R+17.9
Solid R
1%
99%
R+17.3
GOP won
0.6 ppR+0.6
NC-10
Ralph R. Scott, Jr. vs Pat Harrigan
R+18.2
Solid R
1%
99%
R+19.3
GOP won
1.1 ppD+1.1
OK-05
Madison Horn vs Stephanie I. Bice
R+18.3
Solid R
1%
99%
R+21.4
GOP won
3.1 ppD+3.1
CA-33
Pete Aguilar vs Tom Herman
D+18.3
Solid D
98%
2%
D+17.6
Dem won
0.7 ppD+0.7
WI-06
John Zarbano vs Glenn Grothman
R+18.3
Solid R
2%
98%
R+22.6
GOP won
4.3 ppD+4.3
NY-20
Paul Tonko vs Kevin M. Waltz
D+18.4
Solid D
99%
1%
D+22.2
Dem won
3.8 ppR+3.8
NJ-11
Mikie Sherrill vs Joseph Belnome
D+18.8
Solid D
98%
2%
D+14.7
Dem won
4.1 ppD+4.1
FL-21
Thomas Witkop vs Brian J. Mast
R+18.8
Solid R
2%
98%
R+23.6
GOP won
4.8 ppD+4.8
CA-35
Norma J. Torres vs Mike Cargile
D+18.8
Solid D
99%
1%
D+16.8
Dem won
2.0 ppD+2.0
CA-39
Mark Takano vs David Serpa
D+18.9
Solid D
99%
1%
D+13.4
Dem won
5.5 ppD+5.5
PA-04
Madeleine Dean vs David Winkler
D+18.9
Solid D
99%
1%
D+18.1
Dem won
0.8 ppD+0.8
CA-48
Stephen Houlahan vs Darrell Issa
R+19.0
Solid R
1%
99%
R+18.6
GOP won
0.4 ppR+0.4
CT-03
Rosa L. Delauro vs Michael Massey
D+19.1
Solid D
98%
2%
D+19.3
Dem won
0.2 ppR+0.2
NJ-06
Frank Pallone, Jr. vs Scott Fegler
D+19.2
Solid D
99%
1%
D+15.7
Dem won
3.5 ppD+3.5
MN-03
Kelly Morrison vs Tad Jude
D+19.3
Solid D
99%
1%
D+17.0
Dem won
2.3 ppD+2.3
DE-00
Sarah Mcbride vs John J. Whalen Iii
D+19.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+15.7
Dem won
3.9 ppD+3.9
CT-02
Joe Courtney vs Mike France
D+19.7
Solid D
98%
2%
D+16.0
Dem won
3.7 ppD+3.7
NC-08
Justin E. Dues vs Mark Harris
R+19.7
Solid R
1%
99%
R+19.2
GOP won
0.5 ppR+0.5
TN-07
Megan Barry vs Mark E. Green
R+19.8
Solid R
1%
99%
R+21.5
GOP won
1.7 ppD+1.7
NC-05
Chuck Hubbard vs Virginia Foxx
R+19.8
Solid R
1%
99%
R+18.9
GOP won
0.9 ppR+0.9
FL-03
Tom Wells vs Kat Cammack
R+19.8
Solid R
1%
99%
R+23.2
GOP won
3.4 ppD+3.4
TX-12
Trey J. Hunt vs Craig Goldman
R+20.0
Solid R
1%
99%
R+26.9
GOP won
6.9 ppD+6.9
FL-05
Jay Mcgovern vs John H. Rutherford
R+20.1
Solid R
1%
99%
R+26.2
GOP won
6.1 ppD+6.1
NY-21
Paula Collins vs Elise M. Stefanik
R+20.2
Solid R
1%
99%
R+24.0
GOP won
3.8 ppD+3.8
PA-16
Preston Nouri vs Mike Kelly
R+20.3
Solid R
1%
99%
R+27.3
GOP won
7.0 ppD+7.0
NY-24
David Wagenhauser vs Claudia Tenney
R+20.4
Solid R
1%
99%
R+31.3
GOP won
10.9 ppD+10.9
TX-26
Ernest R. Lineberger Iii vs Brandon Gill
R+20.4
Solid R
1%
99%
R+26.4
GOP won
6.0 ppD+6.0
MT-02
John B. Driscoll vs Troy Downing
R+20.5
Solid R
1%
99%
R+32.0
GOP won
11.5 ppD+11.5
AR-02
Marcus A. Jones vs J. French Hill
R+20.6
Solid R
1%
99%
R+17.9
GOP won
2.7 ppR+2.7
NY-23
Thomas A. Carle vs Nicholas A. Langworthy
R+20.8
Solid R
1%
99%
R+31.6
GOP won
10.8 ppD+10.8
TX-21
Kristin Hook vs Chip Roy
R+21.0
Solid R
1%
99%
R+25.8
GOP won
4.8 ppD+4.8
FL-08
Sandy Kennedy vs Mike Haridopolos
R+21.1
Solid R
1%
99%
R+24.5
GOP won
3.4 ppD+3.4
MI-11
Haley M. Stevens vs Nick Somberg
D+21.1
Solid D
99%
1%
D+18.6
Dem won
2.5 ppD+2.5
CA-01
Rose Penelope Yee vs Doug Lamalfa
R+21.2
Solid R
1%
99%
R+30.7
GOP won
9.5 ppD+9.5
TX-22
Marquette Greene-Scott vs Troy E. Nehls
R+21.3
Solid R
1%
99%
R+24.2
GOP won
2.9 ppD+2.9
TX-38
Melissa Mcdonough vs Wesley Hunt
R+21.5
Solid R
1%
99%
R+25.5
GOP won
4.0 ppD+4.0
GA-07
Bob Christian vs Richard Mccormick
R+21.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+29.7
GOP won
8.2 ppD+8.2
CA-31
Gil Cisneros vs Daniel Jose Bocic Martinez
D+21.7
Solid D
99%
1%
D+19.5
Dem won
2.2 ppD+2.2
IA-04
Ryan Melton vs Randy Feenstra
R+21.8
Solid R
1%
99%
R+34.3
GOP won
12.5 ppD+12.5
FL-17
Manny Lopez vs W. Gregory Steube
R+21.9
Solid R
1%
99%
R+27.8
GOP won
5.9 ppD+5.9
MD-02
John \"Johnny O\" Olszewski, Jr. vs Kim Klacik
D+22.0
Solid D
100%
0%
D+18.6
Dem won
3.4 ppD+3.4
TX-31
Stuart Whitlow vs John R. Carter
R+22.0
Solid R
1%
99%
R+28.9
GOP won
6.9 ppD+6.9
SC-05
Evangeline Hundley vs Ralph Norman
R+22.0
Solid R
0%
100%
R+27.2
GOP won
5.2 ppD+5.2
CA-46
J. Luis Correa vs David Pan
D+22.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+26.9
Dem won
4.7 ppR+4.8
WA-02
Rick Larsen vs Cody Hart
D+22.2
Solid D
99%
1%
D+28.0
Dem won
5.8 ppR+5.8
MA-09
William R. Keating vs Dan Sullivan
D+22.2
Solid D
99%
1%
D+12.5
Dem won
9.7 ppD+9.7
MN-06
Jeanne Hendricks vs Tom Emmer
R+22.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+25.0
GOP won
2.8 ppD+2.8
WI-07
Kyle Kilbourn vs Thomas P. Tiffany
R+22.6
Solid R
1%
99%
R+27.2
GOP won
4.6 ppD+4.6
MI-01
Callie Barr vs Jack Bergman
R+22.7
Solid R
1%
99%
R+21.2
GOP won
1.5 ppR+1.5
PA-11
Jim Atkinson vs Lloyd Smucker
R+22.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+25.8
GOP won
3.0 ppD+3.0
CA-50
Scott H. Peters vs Peter J. Bono
D+22.9
Solid D
100%
0%
D+28.5
Dem won
5.6 ppR+5.6
SC-07
Mal Hyman vs Russell Fry
R+22.9
Solid R
0%
100%
R+29.9
GOP won
7.0 ppD+7.0
OH-14
Brian Bob Kenderes vs David P. Joyce
R+22.9
Solid R
0%
100%
R+26.8
GOP won
3.9 ppD+3.9
NY-06
Grace Meng vs Thomas J. Zmich
D+23.0
Solid D
100%
0%
D+23.0
Dem won
0.0 ppEven
HI-02
Jill N. Tokuda vs Steve Bond
D+23.1
Solid D
99%
1%
D+33.5
Dem won
10.4 ppR+10.4
CO-06
Jason Crow vs John E. Fabbricatore
D+23.3
Solid D
99%
1%
D+20.5
Dem won
2.8 ppD+2.8
TX-10
Theresa Boisseau vs Michael T. Mccaul
R+23.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+29.6
GOP won
6.1 ppD+6.1
GA-10
Alexandra \"Lexy\" Doherty vs Mike Collins
R+23.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+26.1
GOP won
2.6 ppD+2.6
TX-07
Lizzie Fletcher vs Caroline Kane
D+23.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+22.6
Dem won
1.1 ppD+1.1
CA-24
Salud O. Carbajal vs Thomas Cole
D+24.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+25.4
Dem won
1.2 ppR+1.3
GA-11
Katy \"Kate\" L. Stamper vs Barry Loudermilk
R+24.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+34.6
GOP won
10.4 ppD+10.4
IL-10
Bradley Scott Schneider vs Jim Carris
D+24.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+19.9
Dem won
4.4 ppD+4.4
MS-02
Bennie G. Thompson vs Ron Eller
D+24.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+24.0
Dem won
0.7 ppD+0.7
KS-04
Esau Freeman vs Ron Estes
R+24.7
Solid R
0%
100%
R+30.1
GOP won
5.4 ppD+5.4
UT-03
Glenn J. Wright vs Mike Kennedy
R+24.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+32.8
GOP won
8.0 ppD+8.0
NJ-01
Donald Norcross vs Theodore \"Teddy\" Liddell
D+24.8
Solid D
100%
0%
D+17.8
Dem won
7.0 ppD+7.0
FL-10
Maxwell Frost vs Willie J. Montague
D+25.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+24.7
Dem won
0.4 ppD+0.4
SC-04
Kathryn Harvey vs William R. Timmons Iv
R+25.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+22.5
GOP won
2.6 ppR+2.6
SC-06
James E. Clyburn vs Duke Buckner
D+25.4
Solid D
100%
0%
D+22.8
Dem won
2.6 ppD+2.6
VA-06
Ken L. Mitchell vs Ben Cline
R+25.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+28.3
GOP won
2.9 ppD+2.9
KY-03
Morgan Mcgarvey vs Mike Craven
D+25.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+23.9
Dem won
1.6 ppD+1.6
OK-01
Dennis Baker vs Kevin Hern
R+25.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+25.9
GOP won
0.4 ppD+0.3
TX-05
Ruth \"Truth\" Torres vs Lance Gooden
R+25.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+28.2
GOP won
2.4 ppD+2.4
OH-08
Vanessa Enoch vs Warren Davidson
R+25.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+25.6
GOP won
0.2 ppR+0.2
AZ-09
Quacy Smith vs Paul A. Gosar
R+25.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+30.6
GOP won
4.8 ppD+4.8
WI-05
Ben Steinhoff vs Scott Fitzgerald
R+25.9
Solid R
0%
100%
R+28.9
GOP won
3.0 ppD+3.0
IN-02
Lori A. Camp vs Rudy Yakym Iii
R+26.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+28.1
GOP won
2.0 ppD+2.0
ID-02
David Roth vs Michael K. Simpson
R+26.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+28.9
GOP won
2.8 ppD+2.8
MO-03
Bethany E. Mann vs Bob Onder
R+26.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+26.0
GOP won
0.4 ppR+0.4
TX-16
Veronica Escobar vs Irene Armendariz Jackson
D+26.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+19.1
Dem won
7.5 ppD+7.5
MD-03
Sarah Elfreth vs Robert J. Steinberger
D+26.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+21.4
Dem won
5.3 ppD+5.3
TX-06
John Love Iii vs Jake Ellzey
R+27.0
Solid R
0%
100%
R+31.4
GOP won
4.4 ppD+4.4
UT-04
Katrina Fallick-Wang vs Burgess Owens
R+27.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+33.2
GOP won
6.1 ppD+6.2
CT-04
James A. Himes vs Michael Goldstein
D+27.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+23.7
Dem won
3.5 ppD+3.5
MO-05
Emanuel Cleaver vs Sean E. Smith
D+27.4
Solid D
100%
0%
D+23.8
Dem won
3.6 ppD+3.6
FL-19
Kari L. Lerner vs Byron Donalds
R+27.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+32.6
GOP won
5.2 ppD+5.2
MI-05
Libbi Urban vs Tim Walberg
R+27.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+32.9
GOP won
5.5 ppD+5.5
NY-26
Timothy M. Kennedy vs Anthony G. Marecki
D+27.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+30.3
Dem won
2.8 ppR+2.8
WA-01
Suzan K. Delbene vs Jeb Brewer
D+27.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+26.3
Dem won
1.2 ppD+1.2
TX-17
Mark Lorenzen vs Pete Sessions
R+27.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+32.7
GOP won
5.2 ppD+5.2
AR-03
Caitlin Draper vs Steve Womack
R+27.6
Solid R
0%
100%
R+32.0
GOP won
4.4 ppD+4.4
LA-02
Troy A. Carter vs Christy Lynch
D+27.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+41.9
Dem won
14.3 ppR+14.3
UT-02
Nathaniel E. Woodward vs Celeste Maloy
R+27.7
Solid R
0%
100%
R+23.8
GOP won
3.9 ppR+3.9
CT-01
John B. Larson vs Jim Griffin
D+27.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+25.0
Dem won
2.7 ppD+2.7
TX-27
Tanya Lloyd vs Michael Cloud
R+27.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+32.1
GOP won
4.3 ppD+4.3
TX-02
Peter Filler vs Dan Crenshaw
R+28.0
Solid R
0%
100%
R+31.3
GOP won
3.3 ppD+3.3
UT-01
Bill Campbell vs Blake D. Moore
R+28.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+31.1
GOP won
3.0 ppD+3.0
NJ-04
Matthew Jenkins vs Christopher H. Smith
R+28.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+35.7
GOP won
7.3 ppD+7.3
CA-28
Judy Chu vs April A. Verlato
D+28.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+29.9
Dem won
1.3 ppR+1.3
MI-06
Debbie Dingell vs Heather Smiley
D+28.8
Solid D
100%
0%
D+27.0
Dem won
1.8 ppD+1.8
TX-32
Julie Johnson vs Darrell Day
D+28.8
Solid D
100%
0%
D+23.5
Dem won
5.3 ppD+5.3
OR-02
Dan Ruby vs Cliff Bentz
R+29.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+31.1
GOP won
2.0 ppD+2.0
IN-09
Timothy \"Tim\" Peck vs Erin Houchin
R+29.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+31.7
GOP won
2.5 ppD+2.5
AZ-07
Raúl M. Grijalva vs Daniel Francis Butierez, Sr.
D+29.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+26.9
Dem won
2.4 ppD+2.4
FL-06
James David Stockton Iii vs Michael Waltz
R+29.6
Solid R
0%
100%
R+33.1
GOP won
3.5 ppD+3.5
AL-07
Terri A. Sewell vs Robin Litaker
D+29.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+27.4
Dem won
2.3 ppD+2.3
PA-14
Chris Dziados vs Guy Reschenthaler
R+29.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+33.1
GOP won
3.3 ppD+3.3
ME-01
Chellie Pingree vs Ronald C. Russell
D+29.9
Solid D
100%
0%
D+22.3
Dem won
7.6 ppD+7.6
FL-18
Andrea Doria Kale vs Scott Franklin
R+29.9
Solid R
0%
100%
R+30.6
GOP won
0.7 ppD+0.7
MI-09
Clinton St. Mosley vs Lisa C. Mcclain
R+30.0
Solid R
0%
100%
R+37.3
GOP won
7.3 ppD+7.3
NJ-12
Bonnie Watson Coleman vs Darius Mayfield
D+30.0
Solid D
100%
0%
D+24.8
Dem won
5.2 ppD+5.2
RI-01
Gabe Amo vs Allen Rodney Waters
D+30.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+31.0
Dem won
0.9 ppR+0.9
PA-05
Mary Gay Scanlon vs Alfeia Goodwin
D+30.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+30.6
Dem won
0.5 ppR+0.5
TX-04
Simon Cardell vs Pat Fallon
R+30.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+36.8
GOP won
6.6 ppD+6.7
CA-38
Linda T. Sánchez vs Eric J. Ching
D+30.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+19.7
Dem won
10.5 ppD+10.5
TN-06
Lore Bergman vs John W. Rose
R+30.7
Solid R
0%
100%
R+36.0
GOP won
5.3 ppD+5.3
ND-00
Trygve Hammer vs Julie Fedorchak
R+30.9
Solid R
0%
100%
R+38.9
GOP won
8.0 ppD+8.0
GA-03
Maura Keller vs Brian Jack
R+31.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+32.6
GOP won
1.2 ppD+1.2
MI-02
Michael Lynch vs John R. Moolenaar
R+31.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+33.4
GOP won
1.9 ppD+1.9
MN-07
A J \"John\" Peters vs Michelle Fischbach
R+31.6
Solid R
0%
100%
R+41.0
GOP won
9.4 ppD+9.4
KS-01
Paul Buskirk vs Tracey Mann
R+31.6
Solid R
0%
100%
R+38.3
GOP won
6.7 ppD+6.7
TN-02
Jane George vs Tim Burchett
R+31.7
Solid R
0%
100%
R+38.5
GOP won
6.8 ppD+6.8
IN-03
Kiley M. Adolph vs Marlin A. Stutzman
R+32.0
Solid R
0%
100%
R+33.6
GOP won
1.6 ppD+1.6
FL-01
Gay Valimont vs Matt Gaetz
R+32.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+32.1
GOP won
0.0 ppEven
IN-04
Derrick Holder vs James R. Baird
R+32.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+33.9
GOP won
1.8 ppD+1.8
HI-01
Ed Case vs Patrick C. Largey
D+32.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+39.7
Dem won
7.4 ppR+7.4
IN-06
Cynthia \"Cinde\" Wirth vs Jefferson Shreve
R+32.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+32.2
GOP won
0.2 ppR+0.2
TX-08
Laura Jones vs Morgan Luttrell
R+32.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+36.4
GOP won
3.6 ppD+3.6
CA-07
Doris O. Matsui vs Tom Silva
D+32.8
Solid D
100%
0%
D+33.5
Dem won
0.7 ppR+0.7
OH-06
Michael L. Kripchak vs Michael A. Rulli
R+33.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+33.5
GOP won
0.3 ppD+0.3
CA-10
Mark Desaulnier vs Katherine Piccinini
D+33.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+32.9
Dem won
0.6 ppD+0.6
VA-04
Jennifer L. Mcclellan vs William J. \"Bill\" Moher Iii
D+33.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+34.9
Dem won
1.3 ppR+1.3
CA-52
Juan Vargas vs Justin Lee
D+34.0
Solid D
100%
0%
D+32.6
Dem won
1.4 ppD+1.4
GA-08
Darrius Butler vs Austin Scott
R+34.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+37.8
GOP won
3.7 ppD+3.8
IN-08
Erik Hurt vs Mark Messmer
R+34.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+38.5
GOP won
4.4 ppD+4.4
OK-04
Mary Brannon vs Tom Cole
R+34.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+37.0
GOP won
2.8 ppD+2.8
TX-14
Rhonda Hart vs Randy K. Weber, Sr.
R+34.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+37.4
GOP won
3.2 ppD+3.2
OH-05
Keith Mundy vs Robert E. Latta
R+34.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+35.0
GOP won
0.8 ppD+0.8
TX-29
Sylvia R. Garcia vs Alan Garza
D+34.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+30.6
Dem won
3.9 ppD+3.9
TN-03
Jack Allen vs Charles J. \"Chuck\" Fleischmann
R+34.6
Solid R
0%
100%
R+38.2
GOP won
3.6 ppD+3.6
NV-02
vs Mark E. Amodei
R+34.7
Solid R
0%
100%
R+55.0
GOP won
20.3 ppD+20.3
GA-14
Shawn Harris vs Marjorie Taylor Greene
R+34.9
Solid R
0%
100%
R+28.7
GOP won
6.2 ppR+6.2
MD-05
Steny H. Hoyer vs Michelle Talkington
D+34.9
Solid D
100%
0%
D+35.7
Dem won
0.8 ppR+0.8
CA-04
Mike Thompson vs John Munn
D+35.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+32.9
Dem won
2.2 ppD+2.2
FL-26
Joey Atkins vs Mario Diaz-Balart
R+35.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+41.8
GOP won
6.6 ppD+6.6
CA-51
Sara Jacobs vs Bill Wells
D+35.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+21.4
Dem won
13.8 ppD+13.8
GA-09
Tambrei Cash vs Andrew S. Clyde
R+35.3
Solid R
0%
100%
R+38.0
GOP won
2.7 ppD+2.8
NC-02
Deborah K. Ross vs Alan D. Swain
D+35.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+34.6
Dem won
0.9 ppD+0.9
CA-32
Brad Sherman vs Larry Thompson
D+36.0
Solid D
100%
0%
D+32.4
Dem won
3.6 ppD+3.6
CA-18
Zoe Lofgren vs Peter D. Hernandez
D+36.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+29.3
Dem won
6.8 ppD+6.8
CA-14
Eric Swalwell vs Vin Kruttiventi
D+36.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+35.5
Dem won
0.7 ppD+0.7
WV-02
Steven Wendelin vs Riley Moore
R+36.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+41.5
GOP won
5.3 ppD+5.3
IL-01
Jonathan L. Jackson vs Marcus Lewis
D+36.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+31.7
Dem won
4.5 ppD+4.5
SD-00
Sheryl Johnson vs Dusty Johnson
R+36.3
Solid R
0%
100%
R+44.1
GOP won
7.8 ppD+7.8
NY-16
George S. Latimer vs Miriam Levitt Flisser
D+36.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+43.0
Dem won
6.7 ppR+6.7
MN-04
Betty Mccollum vs May Lor Xiong
D+36.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+34.7
Dem won
1.8 ppD+1.8
CA-17
Ro Khanna vs Anita Chen
D+36.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+35.3
Dem won
1.2 ppD+1.2
NC-03
vs Gregory F. Murphy
R+36.7
Solid R
0%
100%
R+77.4
GOP won
40.7 ppD+40.7
AL-06
Elizabeth Anderson vs Gary J. Palmer
R+36.7
Solid R
0%
100%
R+40.7
GOP won
4.0 ppD+4.0
OH-12
Jerrad Christian vs Troy Balderson
R+36.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+37.0
GOP won
0.2 ppD+0.2
VA-03
Robert C. \"Bobby\" Scott vs John Sitka Iii
D+37.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+40.1
Dem won
3.0 ppR+3.0
TX-36
Dayna Steele vs Brian Babin
R+37.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+38.7
GOP won
1.6 ppD+1.6
MA-08
Stephen F. Lynch vs Robert G. Burke
D+37.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+38.9
Dem won
1.8 ppR+1.8
VT-00
Becca Balint vs Mark Coester
D+37.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+30.6
Dem won
6.6 ppD+6.6
FL-12
Rock Aboujaoude, Jr. vs Gus M. Bilirakis
R+37.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+42.1
GOP won
4.7 ppD+4.7
PA-09
Amanda Waldman vs Daniel Meuser
R+37.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+41.0
GOP won
3.6 ppD+3.6
MS-04
Craig Elliot Raybon vs Mike Ezell
R+37.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+47.9
GOP won
10.4 ppD+10.4
MS-01
Dianne Dodson Black vs Trent Kelly
R+37.6
Solid R
0%
100%
R+39.6
GOP won
2.0 ppD+1.9
IL-03
Delia C. Ramirez vs John Booras
D+37.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+34.6
Dem won
3.1 ppD+3.1
OH-04
Tamie Wilson vs Jim Jordan
R+38.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+36.9
GOP won
1.3 ppR+1.3
CA-36
Ted Lieu vs Melissa Toomim
D+38.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+37.4
Dem won
0.8 ppD+0.8
IL-02
Robin L. Kelly vs Ashley Ramos
D+38.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+35.1
Dem won
3.2 ppD+3.2
CA-19
Jimmy Panetta vs Jason Michael Anderson
D+38.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+38.6
Dem won
0.3 ppR+0.3
TN-04
Victoria Isabel Broderick vs Scott Desjarlais
R+38.3
Solid R
0%
100%
R+43.2
GOP won
4.9 ppD+4.8
IL-05
Mike Quigley vs Tommy Hanson
D+38.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+37.9
Dem won
0.6 ppD+0.6
CA-42
Robert Garcia vs John Briscoe
D+38.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+36.3
Dem won
2.3 ppD+2.3
VA-11
Gerald E. Connolly vs Mike L. Van Meter
D+39.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+33.8
Dem won
5.4 ppD+5.4
PA-15
Zach Womer vs Glenn Thompson
R+39.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+42.9
GOP won
3.4 ppD+3.4
VA-09
Karen G. H. Baker vs H. Morgan Griffith
R+39.7
Solid R
0%
100%
R+45.2
GOP won
5.5 ppD+5.5
IN-07
André Carson vs John P. Schmitz
D+39.8
Solid D
100%
0%
D+39.4
Dem won
0.4 ppD+0.4
OR-01
Suzanne Bonamici vs Bob Todd
D+40.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+40.5
Dem won
0.2 ppR+0.2
IL-09
Janice D. Schakowsky vs Seth Alan Cohen
D+40.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+36.8
Dem won
3.5 ppD+3.5
ID-01
Kaylee Peterson vs Russ Fulcher
R+40.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+43.4
GOP won
2.9 ppD+2.9
WV-01
Chris Bob Reed vs Carol D. Miller
R+40.6
Solid R
0%
100%
R+40.2
GOP won
0.4 ppR+0.4
MO-04
Jeanette Cass vs Mark Alford
R+40.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+44.7
GOP won
3.9 ppD+3.9
MO-06
Pam May vs Sam Graves
R+41.0
Solid R
0%
100%
R+43.8
GOP won
2.8 ppD+2.8
FL-24
Frederica S. Wilson vs Jesus Gabriel Navarro
D+41.0
Solid D
100%
0%
D+36.5
Dem won
4.5 ppD+4.5
MO-07
Missi Hesketh vs Eric Burlison
R+41.0
Solid R
0%
100%
R+45.3
GOP won
4.3 ppD+4.3
KY-02
Hank Linderman vs Brett Guthrie
R+41.0
Solid R
0%
100%
R+46.2
GOP won
5.2 ppD+5.2
PA-02
Brendan F. Boyle vs Aaron Bashir
D+41.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+42.9
Dem won
1.3 ppR+1.3
TX-18
Sylvester Turner vs Lana Centonze
D+41.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+38.9
Dem won
2.8 ppD+2.8
SC-03
Bryon L. Best vs Sheri Biggs
R+42.3
Solid R
0%
100%
R+46.4
GOP won
4.1 ppD+4.1
CO-02
Joe Neguse vs Marshall Dawson
D+42.4
Solid D
100%
0%
D+39.4
Dem won
3.0 ppD+3.0
TX-33
Marc A. Veasey vs Patrick David Gillespie
D+42.4
Solid D
100%
0%
D+37.6
Dem won
4.8 ppD+4.8
TX-35
Greg Casar vs Steven Wright
D+42.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+34.7
Dem won
7.8 ppD+7.8
MI-13
Shri Thanedar vs Martell D. Bivings
D+42.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+44.1
Dem won
1.4 ppR+1.4
AR-04
Risie Howard vs Bruce Westerman
R+42.9
Solid R
0%
100%
R+45.8
GOP won
2.9 ppD+3.0
OH-03
Joyce Beatty vs Michael Young
D+43.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+41.5
Dem won
1.6 ppD+1.6
IL-04
Jesús G. \"Chuy\" García vs Lupe Castillo
D+43.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+40.2
Dem won
3.0 ppD+3.0
MI-12
Rashida Tlaib vs James D. Hooper
D+43.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+44.3
Dem won
1.0 ppR+1.0
WI-02
Mark Pocan vs Erik Olsen
D+43.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+40.2
Dem won
3.1 ppD+3.1
NJ-08
Robert Menendez vs Anthony Valdes
D+43.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+24.5
Dem won
18.8 ppD+18.9
NY-14
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vs Tina Forte
D+43.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+38.2
Dem won
5.1 ppD+5.2
TN-08
Sarah Freeman vs David Kustoff
R+43.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+46.8
GOP won
3.4 ppD+3.4
GA-13
David Scott vs Jonathan Chavez
D+43.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+43.7
Dem won
0.0 ppEven
WY-00
Kyle G. Cameron vs Harriet M. Hageman
R+44.3
Solid R
0%
100%
R+45.7
GOP won
1.4 ppD+1.4
NC-04
Valerie P. Foushee vs Eric Blankenburg
D+44.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+45.7
Dem won
1.2 ppR+1.2
PA-13
Beth Farnham vs John Joyce
R+45.0
Solid R
0%
100%
R+48.4
GOP won
3.4 ppD+3.4
CA-30
Laura Friedman vs Alex Balekian
D+45.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+36.8
Dem won
8.3 ppD+8.3
LA-01
Mel Manuel vs Steve Scalise
R+45.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+50.1
GOP won
4.6 ppD+4.6
TN-09
Steve Cohen vs Charlotte Bergmann
D+45.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+45.6
Dem won
0.1 ppD+0.1
NC-12
Alma S. Adams vs Addul Ali
D+46.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+48.0
Dem won
1.9 ppR+1.9
KY-01
Erin Marshall vs James Comer
R+46.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+49.4
GOP won
3.2 ppD+3.2
OR-03
Maxine E. Dexter vs Joanna Harbour
D+46.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+42.5
Dem won
3.8 ppD+3.8
CA-08
John Garamendi vs Rudy Recile
D+47.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+47.9
Dem won
0.6 ppR+0.6
IL-12
Brian Roberts vs Mike Bost
R+47.5
Solid R
0%
100%
R+48.4
GOP won
0.9 ppD+0.9
OH-02
Samantha Meadows vs David J. Taylor
R+48.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+47.1
GOP won
1.0 ppR+1.1
AR-01
Rodney Govens vs Eric A. \"Rick\" Crawford
R+48.4
Solid R
0%
100%
R+48.9
GOP won
0.5 ppD+0.5
GA-06
Lucy Mcbath vs Jeff Criswell
D+48.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+49.4
Dem won
0.9 ppR+0.9
NY-08
Hakeem S. Jeffries vs John J. Delaney
D+48.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+50.6
Dem won
2.0 ppR+2.0
CA-44
Nanette Diaz Barragán vs Roger Groh
D+49.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+42.7
Dem won
6.5 ppD+6.5
CA-02
Jared Huffman vs Chris Coulombe
D+49.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+43.8
Dem won
5.7 ppD+5.7
LA-05
Michael Vallien, Jr. vs Julia Letlow
R+49.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+48.1
GOP won
1.7 ppR+1.7
AZ-03
Yassamin Ansari vs Jeff Zink
D+50.0
Solid D
100%
0%
D+44.4
Dem won
5.6 ppD+5.7
NE-03
Daniel Ebers vs Adrian Smith
R+50.6
Solid R
0%
100%
R+60.8
GOP won
10.2 ppD+10.2
WI-04
Gwen Moore vs Tim Rogers
D+51.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+52.4
Dem won
1.3 ppR+1.3
VA-08
Donald S. Beyer, Jr. vs Jerry W. Torres
D+51.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+46.9
Dem won
4.4 ppD+4.4
NY-05
Gregory W. Meeks vs Paul King
D+51.4
Solid D
100%
0%
D+48.2
Dem won
3.2 ppD+3.3
NY-09
Yvette D. Clarke vs Menachem M. Raitport
D+51.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+48.0
Dem won
3.6 ppD+3.6
LA-03
Priscilla Gonzalez vs Clay Higgins
R+52.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+49.4
GOP won
2.7 ppR+2.7
CA-43
Maxine Waters vs Steve Williams
D+52.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+50.1
Dem won
2.0 ppD+2.0
MO-08
Randi Mccallian vs Jason Smith
R+52.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+54.4
GOP won
2.2 ppD+2.2
MN-05
Ilhan Omar vs Dalia Al-Aqidi
D+52.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+49.8
Dem won
2.4 ppD+2.4
OK-02
Brandon Wade vs Josh Brecheen
R+52.6
Solid R
0%
100%
R+52.7
GOP won
0.1 ppD+0.1
TX-37
Lloyd Doggett vs Jenny Garcia Sharon
D+52.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+50.6
Dem won
2.1 ppD+2.1
AL-01
Tom Holmes vs Barry Moore
R+53.1
Solid R
0%
100%
R+56.9
GOP won
3.8 ppD+3.8
OH-11
Shontel M. Brown vs Alan Rapoport
D+53.9
Solid D
100%
0%
D+58.7
Dem won
4.8 ppR+4.8
CA-15
Kevin Mullin vs Anna Cheng Kramer
D+54.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+46.2
Dem won
8.0 ppD+8.0
TN-01
Kevin Jenkins vs Diana Harshbarger
R+54.3
Solid R
0%
100%
R+58.7
GOP won
4.4 ppD+4.4
TX-11
vs August Pfluger
R+55.2
Solid R
0%
100%
R+100.0
GOP won
44.8 ppD+44.8
GA-04
Henry C. \"Hank\" Johnson, Jr. vs Eugene Yu
D+55.2
Solid D
100%
0%
D+51.2
Dem won
4.0 ppD+4.0
NY-07
Nydia M. Velázquez vs Bill Kregler
D+55.9
Solid D
100%
0%
D+56.1
Dem won
0.2 ppR+0.2
MO-01
Wesley Bell vs Andrew Jones
D+57.0
Solid D
100%
0%
D+57.6
Dem won
0.6 ppR+0.6
MD-07
Kweisi Mfume vs Scott M. Collier
D+57.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+63.1
Dem won
6.0 ppR+6.0
NJ-10
Lamonica Mciver vs Carmen Bucco
D+57.7
Solid D
100%
0%
D+52.2
Dem won
5.5 ppD+5.5
CA-29
Luz Maria Rivas vs Benito Benny Bernal
D+57.9
Solid D
100%
0%
D+39.6
Dem won
18.3 ppD+18.3
MD-08
Jamie Raskin vs Cheryl Riley
D+60.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+56.3
Dem won
4.3 ppD+4.3
CO-01
Diana Degette vs Valdamar Archuleta
D+61.8
Solid D
100%
0%
D+55.0
Dem won
6.8 ppD+6.8
LA-04
vs Mike Johnson
R+61.8
Solid R
0%
100%
R+100.0
GOP won
38.2 ppD+38.2
NY-15
Ritchie Torres vs Gonzalo Duran
D+62.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+55.2
Dem won
6.9 ppD+6.9
NY-10
Daniel S. Goldman vs Alexander Dodenhoff
D+66.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+63.6
Dem won
2.7 ppD+2.7
NY-12
Jerrold Nadler vs Michael K. Zumbluskas
D+66.6
Solid D
100%
0%
D+60.9
Dem won
5.7 ppD+5.7
CA-37
Sydney Kamlager-Dove vs
D+70.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+78.3
Dem won
8.2 ppR+8.2
GA-05
Nikema Williams vs John \"Bongo\" Salvesen
D+70.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+71.4
Dem won
1.1 ppR+1.1
NY-13
Adriano Espaillat vs Ruben D. Vargas
D+70.3
Solid D
100%
0%
D+66.7
Dem won
3.6 ppD+3.6
IL-07
Danny K. Davis vs Chad Koppie
D+70.5
Solid D
100%
0%
D+66.6
Dem won
3.9 ppD+3.9
WA-07
Pramila Jayapal vs Dan Alexander
D+71.1
Solid D
100%
0%
D+68.1
Dem won
3.0 ppD+3.0
CA-11
Nancy Pelosi vs Bruce Lou
D+75.0
Solid D
100%
0%
D+62.1
Dem won
12.9 ppD+12.9
MD-04
Glenn Ivey vs George Mcdermott
D+77.4
Solid D
100%
0%
D+77.2
Dem won
0.2 ppD+0.2
AL-03
vs Mike Rogers
Uncontested
Uncontested
AL-04
vs Robert B. Aderholt
Uncontested
Uncontested
AL-05
vs Dale W. Strong
Uncontested
Uncontested
CA-12
Lateefah Simon vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
CA-16
Sam Liccardo vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
CA-20
vs Vince Fong
Uncontested
Uncontested
CA-34
Jimmy Gomez vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
FL-20
Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
IL-15
vs Mary E. Miller
Uncontested
Uncontested
IL-16
vs Darin Lahood
Uncontested
Uncontested
KY-04
vs Thomas Massie
Uncontested
Uncontested
KY-05
vs Harold Rogers
Uncontested
Uncontested
MA-01
Richard E. Neal vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
MA-02
James P. Mcgovern vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
MA-03
Lori Trahan vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
MA-04
Jake Auchincloss vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
MA-05
Katherine M. Clark vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
MA-06
Seth Moulton vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
MA-07
Ayanna Pressley vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
MS-03
vs Michael Guest
Uncontested
Uncontested
NC-06
vs Addison Mcdowell
Uncontested
Uncontested
OK-03
vs Frank D. Lucas
Uncontested
Uncontested
PA-03
Dwight Evans vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
TX-01
vs Nathaniel Moran
Uncontested
Uncontested
TX-09
Al Green vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
TX-13
vs Ronny Jackson
Uncontested
Uncontested
TX-19
vs Jodey C. Arrington
Uncontested
Uncontested
TX-20
Joaquin Castro vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
TX-25
vs Roger Williams
Uncontested
Uncontested
TX-30
Jasmine Crockett vs
Uncontested
Uncontested
WA-04
vs Dan Newhouse
Uncontested
Uncontested
WA-09
Adam Smith vs
Uncontested
Uncontested