Oregon's 5th Congressional District
95%
Dem
5%GOP
▲ R+1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
D+7.9
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
D+1.5
National Environment
current political climate
D+10.6
Polls
polling in similar districts
R+0.1
Forecasted margin
D+19.9
What Changes the Forecast
This race needs a plot twist. It would take a sustained, race-specific shift to move the forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 95%
GOP 5%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- D+9 This district leans Democrat.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Janelle Bynum (inc.)
Republican Patti Adair