Colorado's 3rd Congressional District
84%
GOP
16%Dem
▲ D+3% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+8.6
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+9.5
National Environment
current political climate
D+10.3
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+1.8
Forecasted margin
R+6.0
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting TeamDemocratic | Oct 21, 2026 | D+1 | LV |
| Keating Research, Inc. Dwayne RomeroDemocratic | Jul 23, 2026 | R+1 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 16%
GOP 84%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+9 This district leans Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Dwayne Romero
Republican Jeff Hurd (inc.)