Colorado's 8th Congressional District
58%
Dem
42%GOP
▲ R +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: D +2.8·80% of simulations: R +15.3 to D +20.8
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +0.2
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +7.6
National Environment
current political climate
D +10.6
Polls
recent state and district polling
Even
Forecasted margin
D +2.8
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 58%
GOP 42%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+0 This is a highly competitive, evenly split district.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Manny Rutinel
Republican Gabe Evans (inc.)