Colorado's 5th Congressional District
57%
GOP
43%Dem
▲ D+6% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+8.6
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+3.7
National Environment
current political climate
D+10.3
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+0.8
Forecasted margin
R+1.2
What Changes the Forecast
This could go either way. A small polling shift might flip the whole thing.
Polls
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group Jessica KillinDemocratic | Oct 18, 2026 | Even | LV |
| Global Strategy Group Jessica KillinDemocratic | Oct 18, 2026 | D+5 | LV |
| Global Strategy Group Jessica KillinDemocratic | Jul 21, 2026 | R+1 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 43%
GOP 57%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+9 This district leans Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Jessica Killin
Republican Jeff Crank (inc.)