Colorado's 4th Congressional District
79%
GOP
21%Dem
▲ R +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +11.5·80% of simulations: R +30.5 to D +7.6
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +16.9
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +1.2
National Environment
current political climate
D +6.3
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.4
Forecasted margin
R +11.4
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 21%
GOP 79%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+18 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Eileen Laubacher
Republican Lauren Boebert (inc.)