Colorado's 4th Congressional District
82%
GOP
18%Dem
▲ D+7% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+16.9
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
D+3.0
National Environment
current political climate
D+7.4
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+0.3
Forecasted margin
R+6.2
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research Invest in Tomorrow Coalition | Sep 24, 2026 | R+5 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 18%
GOP 82%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+18 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Eileen Laubacher
Republican Lauren Boebert (inc.)