Kansas's 2nd Congressional District
92%
GOP
8%Dem
▲ R+1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+17.7
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+4.2
National Environment
current political climate
D+7.3
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+3.2
Forecasted margin
R+11.4
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting TeamDemocratic | Oct 20, 2026 | R+3 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 8%
GOP 92%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+19 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Don Coover
Republican Derek Schmidt (inc.)