Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District
83%
Dem
17%GOP
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: D +9.0·80% of simulations: R +3.4 to D +21.4
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
D +4.6
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +5.6
National Environment
current political climate
D +10.0
Polls
recent state and district polling
Even
Forecasted margin
D +9.0
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 83%
GOP 17%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- D+5 This district leans Democrat.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Denise Powell
Republican Brinker Harding
- Seat context
- Open seat. The incumbent is not seeking reelection.