Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District
79%
Dem
21%GOP
▲ D +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: D +6.6·80% of simulations: R +6.4 to D +19.6
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
D +4.6
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +4.0
National Environment
current political climate
D +6.0
Polls
recent state and district polling
Even
Forecasted margin
D +6.6
Polls
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | N | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | Oct 23, 2025 | D +7 | 594 | rv |
| Public Policy Polling | Oct 23, 2025 | D +5 | 594 | rv |
What Changes the Forecast
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time
Dem 79%
GOP 21%
Race Details
- Expert Ratings
- District Lean
- This district leans Democratic (D+5).
- Candidates
- Denise Powell (D) Brinker Harding (R)
- Seat Context
- Open seat. The incumbent is not seeking reelection.