Nebraska Senate

94%

GOP

6%Ind

Likely R

— No change since last week

Range of Outcomes

Median outcome: R +12.2·80% of simulations: R +22.1 to R +2.4

How We Got This

Partisan Lean

how the seat votes compared with the nation

R +18.5

Fundamentals

candidates, fundraising, experts

I +2.7

National Environment

current political climate

I +3.2

Polls

recent state and district polling

I +0.4

Forecasted margin

R +12.2

What Changes the Forecast

Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.

Polls

No statewide polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.

Forecast Over Time

Ind (purple) and GOP (red) win probability over time.

Ind 6%

GOP 94%

Race Details

Expert ratings

Cook Likely R Inside Elections Likely R Sabato Likely R

State lean

R+21 This is a safe Republican state.

Candidates

Independent Dan Osborn

Republican Pete Ricketts (inc.)