New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District

100%

Dem

0%GOP

Solid D

— No change since last week

Range of Outcomes

Median outcome: D+18.480% of simulations: D+13.2 to D+23.7

How We Got This

Partisan Lean

how the seat votes compared with the nation

D+4.5

Fundamentals

candidates, fundraising, experts

D+1.3

National Environment

current political climate

D+11.8

Polls

recent state and district polling

D+0.8

Forecasted margin

D+18.4

What Changes the Forecast

This race needs a plot twist. It would take a sustained, race-specific shift to move the forecast.

Polls

Race polls
Pollster	Date	Margin	Population
St. Anselm	Oct 20, 2026	D+16	LV
University of New Hampshire	Sep 21, 2026	D+21	LV
St. Anselm	Aug 18, 2026	D+15	LV
St. Anselm	Jun 25, 2026	D+19	RV

Forecast Over Time

Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.

Dem 100%

GOP 0%

Race Details

Expert ratings

Cook Solid D Inside Elections Likely D Sabato Likely D

PVI

D+5 This is a competitive district that leans slightly Democrat.

Candidates

Democrat Maggie Goodlander (inc.)

Republican Lily Tang Williams