New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District

100%

Dem

0%GOP

Solid D

— No change since last week

Range of Outcomes

Median outcome: D +17.6·80% of simulations: D +10.5 to D +24.6

How We Got This

Partisan Lean

how the seat votes compared with the nation

D +4.5

Fundamentals

candidates, fundraising, experts

D +3.0

National Environment

current political climate

D +10.0

Polls

recent state and district polling

D +0.1

Forecasted margin

D +17.6

What Changes the Forecast

We're just making an assumption based on the national environment at this point.

Polls

Race polls
Pollster	Date	Margin	N	Sample
St. Anselm	Aug 18, 2026	D +15	701	lv
St. Anselm	Jun 25, 2026	D +19	802	rv
St. Anselm	Mar 18, 2026	D +12	739	rv

Forecast Over Time

Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.

Dem 100%

GOP 0%

Race Details

Expert ratings

Cook Solid D Inside Elections Likely D Sabato Likely D

District lean

D+5 This is a competitive district that leans slightly Democrat.

Candidates

Democrat Maggie Goodlander (inc.)

Republican Lily Tang Williams