Nevada's 1st Congressional District
93%
Dem
7%GOP
▲ D +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: D +12.8·80% of simulations: D +1.9 to D +23.6
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
D +3.5
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +4.0
National Environment
current political climate
D +13.3
Polls
recent state and district polling
R +0.1
Forecasted margin
D +12.7
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 93%
GOP 7%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- D+4 This is a competitive district that leans slightly Democrat.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Dina Titus (inc.)
Republican Carrie Buck