Tennessee's 8th Congressional District
94%
GOP
6%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +19.3·80% of simulations: R +34.4 to R +4.2
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +18.1
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +7.7
National Environment
current political climate
D +6.1
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.4
Forecasted margin
R +19.3
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 6%
GOP 94%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+20 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Heidi Kuhn
Republican David Kustoff (inc.)