Virginia's 6th Congressional District
100%
GOP
0%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+21.4
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+4.2
National Environment
current political climate
D+6.7
Polls
recent state and district polling
R+4.0
Forecasted margin
R+22.9
What Changes the Forecast
This race needs a plot twist. It would take a sustained, race-specific shift to move the forecast.
Polls
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| co/ | Sep 30, 2026 | R+30 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 0%
GOP 100%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+23 This is a safe Republican district.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Beth Macy
Republican Ben Cline (inc.)