Michigan's 8th Congressional District
92%
Dem
8%GOP
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+2.7
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
D+6.1
National Environment
current political climate
D+12.3
Polls
polling in similar districts
Even
Forecasted margin
D+15.7
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 92%
GOP 8%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+3 This is a competitive district that leans slightly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet (inc.)
Republican Thomas J. Smith