Ohio's 7th Congressional District
54%
GOP
46%Dem
▲ D+1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+9.9
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+1.4
National Environment
current political climate
D+9.8
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+1.0
Forecasted margin
R+0.5
What Changes the Forecast
This could go either way. A small polling shift might flip the whole thing.
Polls
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bedrock Polling Iron Workers International, The Next 50Democratic | Aug 10, 2026 | D+8 | LV |
| Tavern Research | Aug 4, 2026 | D+8 | LV |
| GBAO Brian PoindexterDemocratic | Jun 20, 2026 | R+1 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 46%
GOP 54%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+11 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Brian Poindexter
Republican Max Miller (inc.)