Ohio's 14th Congressional District

— No change since last week
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+18.1
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+8.8
National Environment
current political climate
D+7.2
Polls
polling in similar districts
D+0.3
Forecasted margin
R+19.4

What Changes the Forecast

We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.

Polls

No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.

Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 6%
GOP 94%
Race Details
Expert ratings
Cook Solid R Inside Elections Solid R Sabato Safe R
PVI
R+20 This district leans strongly Republican.
Candidates

Democrat Maria Jukic

Republican David Joyce (inc.)