Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District
51%
Dem
49%GOP
▲ D +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: D +0.2·80% of simulations: R +17.3 to D +17.8
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +2.1
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +4.0
National Environment
current political climate
D +6.3
Polls
recent state and district polling
Even
Forecasted margin
D +0.2
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
What Changes the Forecast
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time
Dem 51%
GOP 49%
Race Details
- Expert Ratings
- District Lean
- This is a competitive district that leans slightly Republican (R+2).
- Candidates
- Bob Brooks (D) Ryan Mackenzie (R) (inc.)