Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District
77%
Dem
23%GOP
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+2.1
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+5.7
National Environment
current political climate
D+12.4
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+0.1
Forecasted margin
D+4.7
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin & Marshall College | Sep 20, 2026 | D+5 | RV |
| GBAO House Majority PACDemocratic | Jul 2, 2026 | D+4 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 77%
GOP 23%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+2 This is a competitive district that leans slightly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Bob Brooks
Republican Ryan Mackenzie (inc.)