Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District
56%
Dem
44%GOP
▲ R +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: D +2.1·80% of simulations: R +16.0 to D +20.2
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +2.1
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +6.3
National Environment
current political climate
D +10.5
Polls
recent state and district polling
Even
Forecasted margin
D +2.1
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 56%
GOP 44%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+2 This is a competitive district that leans slightly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Bob Brooks
Republican Ryan Mackenzie (inc.)