North Carolina's 9th Congressional District
91%
GOP
9%Dem
▲ R+1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+14.3
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+5.2
National Environment
current political climate
D+8.1
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+0.8
Forecasted margin
R+10.6
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners Richard OjedaDemocratic | Sep 3, 2026 | R+4 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 9%
GOP 91%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+16 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Richard Ojeda
Republican Richard Hudson (inc.)