New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District
94%
GOP
6%Dem
▲ D+1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+9.8
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+13.0
National Environment
current political climate
D+9.8
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+0.3
Forecasted margin
R+12.7
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research House Majority PACDemocratic | Oct 10, 2026 | R+10 | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 6%
GOP 94%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+11 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Zack Mullock
Republican Jeff Van Drew (inc.)