New Jersey's 9th Congressional District
94%
Dem
6%GOP
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
D+3.6
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
D+1.7
National Environment
current political climate
D+12.1
Polls
polling in similar districts
R+0.1
Forecasted margin
D+17.3
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 94%
GOP 6%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- D+4 This is a competitive district that leans slightly Democrat.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Nellie Pou (inc.)
Republican Rosie Pino