Texas's 24th Congressional District
90%
GOP
10%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +16.7·80% of simulations: R +33.1 to R +0.3
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +14.2
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +9.6
National Environment
current political climate
D +6.9
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.2
Forecasted margin
R +16.7
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 10%
GOP 90%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+15 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Kevin Burge
Republican Beth Van Duyne (inc.)