Texas's 27th Congressional District
96%
GOP
4%Dem
▲ R +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +18.5·80% of simulations: R +31.8 to R +5.2
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +18.9
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +5.9
National Environment
current political climate
D +5.9
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.4
Forecasted margin
R +18.5
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 4%
GOP 96%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+21 This is a safe Republican district.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Tanya Lloyd
Republican Michael Cloud (inc.)