Texas's 25th Congressional District
93%
GOP
7%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +16.8·80% of simulations: R +30.7 to R +2.8
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +20.5
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +2.4
National Environment
current political climate
D +5.7
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.4
Forecasted margin
R +16.8
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 7%
GOP 93%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+22 This is a safe Republican district.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Dione Sims
Republican Roger Williams (inc.)