Texas's 32nd Congressional District
89%
GOP
11%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +16.0·80% of simulations: R +32.8 to D +0.7
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +14.9
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +8.1
National Environment
current political climate
D +6.7
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.3
Forecasted margin
R +16.0
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 11%
GOP 89%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+16 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Dan Barrios
Republican Jace Yarbrough