California's 13th Congressional District
88%
Dem
12%GOP
▲ D+5% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
D+4.5
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+3.2
National Environment
current political climate
D+11.8
Polls
polling in similar districts
R+0.1
Forecasted margin
D+13.0
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 88%
GOP 12%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- D+5 This is a competitive district that leans slightly Democrat.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Adam Gray (inc.)
Republican Kevin Lincoln
- Notes
- Top-two primary