Florida's 2nd Congressional District
88%
GOP
12%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+15.3
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+8.5
National Environment
current political climate
D+7.9
Polls
polling in similar districts
D+0.2
Forecasted margin
R+15.7
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 12%
GOP 88%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+17 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Amanda Marie Green
Republican Austin Rogers
- Seat context
- Open seat. The incumbent is not seeking reelection.