Florida's 12th Congressional District
— No change since last week
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+12.2
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+11.7
National Environment
current political climate
D+8.9
Polls
polling in similar districts
D+0.1
Forecasted margin
R+14.9

What Changes the Forecast

We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.

Polls

No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 14%
GOP 86%
Race Details
Expert ratings
Cook Solid R Inside Elections Solid R Sabato Likely R
PVI
R+13 This district leans strongly Republican.
Candidates

Democrat Kimberly Overman

Republican Gus Bilirakis (inc.)

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