Florida's 12th Congressional District
81%
GOP
19%Dem
▲ R +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +12.1·80% of simulations: R +30.8 to D +6.6
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +12.2
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +7.6
National Environment
current political climate
D +7.5
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.2
Forecasted margin
R +12.1
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 19%
GOP 81%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+13 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Kimberly Overman
Republican Gus Bilirakis (inc.)