Florida's 7th Congressional District
79%
GOP
21%Dem
▲ R+9% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+10.0
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+5.9
National Environment
current political climate
D+9.7
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+0.9
Forecasted margin
R+5.3
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting TeamDemocratic | Oct 19, 2026 | R+3 | LV |
| DCCC Targeting TeamDemocratic | Oct 19, 2026 | Even | LV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 21%
GOP 79%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+11 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Bale Dalton
Republican Ryan Elijah