Florida's 7th Congressional District
66%
GOP
34%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +6.1·80% of simulations: R +25.9 to D +13.8
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +10.0
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +4.4
National Environment
current political climate
D +8.2
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.1
Forecasted margin
R +6.1
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 34%
GOP 66%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+11 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Bale Dalton
Republican Ryan Elijah