Florida's 27th Congressional District
75%
GOP
25%Dem
▲ R +1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +9.7·80% of simulations: R +29.5 to D +10.1
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +10.1
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +7.9
National Environment
current political climate
D +8.2
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.1
Forecasted margin
R +9.7
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 25%
GOP 75%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- District lean
- R+11 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Eliott Rodriguez
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar (inc.)