Florida's 26th Congressional District
91%
GOP
9%Dem
▲ R+1% since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+13.1
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+12.8
National Environment
current political climate
D+8.5
Polls
polling in similar districts
D+0.2
Forecasted margin
R+17.2
What Changes the Forecast
We're mostly flying blind here. At this point, anything helps.
Polls
No district-level polling available. Forecast relies on fundamentals and expert ratings.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 9%
GOP 91%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+14 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Nicole Locklin
Republican Mario Diaz-Balart (inc.)