Florida's 8th Congressional District
97%
GOP
3%Dem
— No change since last week
Range of Outcomes
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R+13.8
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R+10.4
National Environment
current political climate
D+8.3
Polls
recent state and district polling
D+0.3
Forecasted margin
R+15.6
What Changes the Forecast
This race needs a plot twist. It would take a sustained, race-specific shift to move the forecast.
Polls
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | Population |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling Jennifer JenkinsDemocratic | Jul 18, 2026 | R+9 | RV |
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
Dem (blue) and GOP (red) win probability over time.
Dem 3%
GOP 97%
Race Details
- Expert ratings
- PVI
- R+15 This district leans strongly Republican.
- Candidates
-
Democrat Jennifer Jenkins
Republican Mike Haridopolos (inc.)